By Professor Habib Al Badawi The Sahel occupies an increasingly central position in global geopolitics, where the strategic ambitions of external powers intersect with the fragile realities of local governance. This paper examines two successive waves of geopolitical transformation — the military-coup era of 2020–2025 and the emerging multipolar reordering of 2025–2026 — through a …
SHADOWS OVER THE SAHEL: Rivalries and Resilience Read More »
Prof. Habib BadawiLebanese University, Beirut, LebanonEmail: [email protected] | [email protected]: 0000-0002-6452-8379 – Scopus ID: 58675152100 Dr. Allali Khadija Abdelmalek Essaadi University, Tetouan, Morocco Email: [email protected] ORCID: 0009-0000-1873-0894 Abstract This study investigates whether cultural diplomacy can function as a semi-autonomous framework for sustaining China–Taiwan relations in the absence of formal diplomatic recognition. By integrating six theoretical traditions …
By Professor Habib Al- Badawi What We Think We Know: The Patron-Client Paradigm The dominant framework for understanding Saudi-American relations holds that Riyadh occupies the subordinate position in a classic patron-client security arrangement. In exchange for American military guarantees — codified in base access agreements, arms transfers of extraordinary scale, and an implicit nuclear umbrella …
How Saudi Arabia Escaped Trump’s Trap and Thwarted the Israeli-American War Plan Read More »
Abstract This paper examines the strategic implications of Japan’s ongoing defence transformation for the Indo-Pacific regional order through 2030. Drawing on Japan’s 2022 strategic documents, the 2025–2026 procurement cycle, and the evolving Taiwan contingency, it argues that Japan has crossed a threshold from declaratory posture to fielded operational counter-strike capability — a transition with qualitative …
By Professor Habib Al Badawi “This paper examines the elevation of Sheikh Khalid bin Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan to the position of Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi as an exercise in strategic regime design rather than hereditary inevitability. Drawing on verified Reuters reporting from 2023–2026, the analysis situates the succession within three interlocking structural …
By Professor Habib Al Badawi Abstract Sanae Takaichi’s October 2025 ascent to Japan’s premiership marks a structural reorientation of Japanese governance beyond a simple Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership transition. I term this shift “command governance”— a model that centralizes decision-making in the Prime Minister’s Office, prioritizes executive action over consensus-building, and transforms fiscal policy …
Governing by Resolve: The Takaichi Effect on Japan’s Domestic Power Architecture Read More »
Authored By: Prof. Habib Badawi, Mr. Ali Kassab ABSTRACT This study examines the December 2024 collapse of the Syrian regime as a case of intelligence-led displacement—regime change achieved through covert paralysis of command structures rather than military defeat. Within eleven days, a government that survived thirteen years of civil war ceased functioning without decisive battle, …
By Habib-Al Badawi Introduction: The End of an Era The November 2025 National Security Strategy represents the first comprehensive articulation since the Cold War’s end of an American vision that explicitly abandons ideological frameworks shaping global posture for three decades. The document positions the United States not as the architect of “liberal order” but as …
By Professor Habib Al Badawi Introduction The rupture between Donald Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene marks one of the most revealing confrontations inside the Republican Party since the rise of the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. What began as an alliance fueled by grievance politics and populist energy has evolved into a public collision …
When MAGA Collides: Trump vs. Greene in a Battle for the GOP’s Soul Read More »
By Habib Al Badawi When Killing Becomes Commerce: The Milan Investigation as Moral Reckoning The Siege of Sarajevo remains one of the starkest illustrations of systematic violence against civilians in late twentieth-century Europe. Beneath the familiar narrative of snipers and shelling lies a more disturbing layer: the Milan investigation reveals that killing civilians in Sarajevo …
Hunting Humans: The Paid Killers of Sarajevo and the Milan Investigation Read More »
