Geopolitics

Beyond the ’51st State’: Canadian Sovereignty in an Era of Trumpism Ambitions

By Professor Habib Al-Badawi In an era where geopolitical certainties are increasingly rare, Canada finds itself at a defining crossroads that will test not only its political resilience but the very essence of its sovereign identity. The sudden departure of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, coupled with mounting pressures from the incoming U.S. administration under President-elect …

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Crossroads of America:

The Evolving Dialectic of Obamaism and Trumpism in Contemporary Political Discourse By Habib Al-Badawi Introduction The emergence of Obamaism and Trumpism as competing political philosophies marks a critical juncture in American political development, representing what Sundquist (1983) identifies as a potential “sixth party system” in American politics. These movements embody fundamentally different visions of American …

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The Transformation of Military Intelligence Architecture:

From Battlefield to Intelligence Network: Evidence-Based Analysis of OSINT’s Causal Impact in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict By Habib Al-Badawi Introduction The democratization of intelligence through open-source platforms represents one of the most significant shifts in modern warfare since the advent of cyber operations, fundamentally reshaping how conflicts are understood, analyzed, and conducted (Brantly, 2021). As Hockenhull …

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Anatolia in Crosshairs:

Türkiye’s Strategic Response to Israeli Belligerence and Regional Upheaval Professor Habib Al-Badawi In the wake of escalating Israeli belligerence across Gaza and Lebanon, Türkiye finds itself at a critical juncture, forced to recalibrate its regional security strategy in response to rapidly shifting geopolitical dynamics. The events of October 7, 2023, marked a watershed moment, revealing …

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Shadows in the Spotlight: The Unseen Dynamics of Alternative Candidates in U.S. Elections

By Habib Al-Badawi The theater of American presidential elections often presents itself as a grand spectacle, with the spotlight rigidly fixed on the Democratic and Republican nominees. This creates a compelling illusion of a binary choice, a straightforward decision between two distinct visions for the nation’s future. However, beneath this carefully constructed facade lies a …

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NATO’s Strategic Dilemma in Africa Amid China’s Ascendancy at FOCAC 2024

By Habib Al-Badawi As the world navigates an era marked by intensifying geopolitical competition, Africa has emerged as a critical arena where global powers vie for influence. The Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) 2024, held from 3 to 8 September, exemplifies China’s strategic engagement with the African continent, showcasing its expanding role as Africa’s largest …

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Monetary Power Play:

Trump’s Bid to Reshape the Federal Reserve and Its Future By Professor Habib Al-Badawi Introduction: The Federal Reserve’s Critical Role The Federal Reserve, as the central bank of the United States, plays a pivotal role in shaping the economic landscape. Entrusted with the dual mandate of controlling inflation and maximizing employment, the Fed’s decisions on …

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Project 2025: Analysing Conservative Policy Proposals for a Potential Second Trump Administration

By Professor Habib Al-Badawi As the United States approaches the 2024 presidential election, the political landscape is rife with speculation and anticipation. Recent polls indicate a potential return to the Oval Office for former President Donald Trump, a prospect that has galvanized both supporters and critics. Against this backdrop, Project 2025 has emerged as a …

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The British General Election 2024: A New Political Landscape Emerges

By: Prof. Habib Badawi & Dr. Nicholas Howard The recent British general election has dramatically altered the country’s political landscape, signaling a profound shift in voter sentiment and party dynamics. This election marked the end of the Conservative Party’s 14-year dominance, resulting in a resounding triumph for the Labour Party, led by Sir Keir Starmer. …

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The End of Complacency: China’s Strategic Recalibration in Anticipation of a Potential Trump Presidency

By Professor Habib Al-Badawi Abstract This “research note” examines the strategic challenges faced by China, considering the potential return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency in 2024. It analyzes the complex interplay of domestic politics, economic interdependence, and geopolitical dynamics that shape Beijing’s foreign policy calculations. The study argues that the prospect of a …

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